Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.040687 0.044349 0.048056 0.052085 0.056332 0.060671 0.065431
2025-08-03 0.035608 0.041048 0.046753 0.053157 0.060121 0.067438 0.075685
2025-08-10 0.029707 0.036154 0.043145 0.051232 0.060270 0.070004 0.081226
2025-08-17 0.025883 0.033097 0.041159 0.050731 0.061680 0.073715 0.087847
2025-08-24 0.022747 0.030490 0.039389 0.050209 0.062846 0.076986 0.093853
2025-08-31 0.021219 0.029597 0.039455 0.051674 0.066184 0.082648 0.102527
2025-09-07 0.019695 0.028554 0.039213 0.052666 0.068887 0.087528 0.110281
2025-09-14 0.018202 0.027411 0.038735 0.053278 0.071065 0.091746 0.117242
2025-09-21 0.016685 0.026111 0.037957 0.053430 0.072618 0.095177 0.123252
2025-09-28 0.015904 0.025707 0.038252 0.054866 0.075700 0.100413 0.131399
2025-10-05 0.014329 0.024117 0.036927 0.054180 0.076104 0.102387 0.135629
2025-10-12 0.013233 0.023106 0.036288 0.054308 0.077472 0.105493 0.141198
2025-10-19 0.012452 0.022512 0.036200 0.055166 0.079805 0.109855 0.148399
2025-10-26 0.011882 0.022185 0.036447 0.056453 0.082688 0.114915 0.156493
2025-11-02 0.010284 0.020215 0.034337 0.054528 0.081387 0.114740 0.158147
2025-11-09 0.009292 0.019090 0.033343 0.054043 0.081901 0.116800 0.162533
2025-11-16 0.008380 0.018013 0.032357 0.053517 0.082320 0.118710 0.166720
2025-11-23 0.008120 0.017975 0.032868 0.055054 0.085471 0.124101 0.175276
2025-11-30 0.007744 0.017715 0.033031 0.056093 0.087954 0.128647 0.182793
2025-12-07 0.007294 0.017292 0.032924 0.056733 0.089893 0.132496 0.189445
2025-12-14 0.006759 0.016681 0.032499 0.056893 0.091167 0.135482 0.195008
2025-12-21 0.006575 0.016680 0.033004 0.058390 0.094267 0.140847 0.203618
2025-12-28 0.005909 0.015745 0.032011 0.057675 0.094309 0.142213 0.207121